Punishing: Gray Raven SP Limited Pity Calculator: Odds, Pity Thresholds and Guarantee

Hard pity: 100
Soft pity: None
Base rate: 1.5%
Cost per pull: 250 Black Cards
Rate-up guarantee: Direct (no 50/50)

This Punishing: Gray Raven pity calculator turns your pity counter into a real percentage. The SP Limited banner guarantees a top-rarity drop by pull 100, with a flat 1.5% rate on every pull until the guarantee. There is no coin flip on this banner: the guaranteed top-rarity drop is always the featured unit. Starting from zero pity, 10 pulls give you a 14% chance and you need about 46 pulls for a coin-flip 50%. Set your current pity and the pulls you have saved to see your own number.

Pity calculator for:

Pity you have right now

0Soft pity: 80Hard pity: 100

Pulls you can spend10

= 2,500 Black Cards

Will you have enough by the next banner?

Type what you have, what you earn per week and when the banner ends. The planner turns it into pulls and into your real chance that day.

Currency you have now (Black Cards)

Currency you earn per week

Banner ends on

Pity you have now

0 weeks to go

Pulls you will have

Chance of the featured drop

100

Pulls needed for 90%

How the Punishing: Gray Raven SP Limited pity system works

Counter. Every pull without a top-rarity drop adds 1 to your pity. The counter resets to 0 the moment you get one — it does not reset when the banner rotates.
Flat rate. Punishing: Gray Raven keeps the rate at 1.5% on every pull of this banner; nothing ramps up before the cap, so only the hard guarantee changes your odds.
Hard pity (100). If you reach pull 100 without a drop, that pull is forced to be top rarity. From zero that costs 25,000 Black Cards.
Featured guarantee. The pity drop is always the featured unit, so 100 pulls (25,000 Black Cards) is the true ceiling.

How many pulls and Black Cards you need in Punishing: Gray Raven

Target	Pulls	Black Cards
10 pulls (one multi)	10	2,500
50% chance of a top-rarity drop	46	11,500
90% chance of a top-rarity drop	100	25,000
Hard pity (100) from zero	100	25,000

Chance of a top-rarity drop by number of pulls in Punishing: Gray Raven

Pulls from zero pity	Cumulative chance	Black Cards
10	14%	2,500
20	26%	5,000
30	36%	7,500
40	45%	10,000
50	53%	12,500
60	60%	15,000
70	65%	17,500
80	70%	20,000
90	74%	22,500
100Hard pity	100%	25,000

Computed from the SP Limited banner's exact rate table: 1.5% base rate, hard pity at 100. Every row assumes you start at pity 0; type your real pity in the calculator to shift the curve.

How many pulls do you need in Punishing: Gray Raven? →Punishing →How to get Black Cards in Punishing: Gray Raven →