Punishing: Gray Raven Pity Calculator: Hard Pity, Guarantee and Your Real Odds

Hard pity: 60
Soft pity: None
Base rate: 0.5%
Cost per pull: 250 Black Cards
Rate-up guarantee: Shared pool

This Punishing: Gray Raven pity calculator turns your pity counter into a real percentage. The Member Recruitment banner guarantees a top-rarity drop by pull 60, with a flat 0.5% rate on every pull until the guarantee. The guaranteed drop comes from the whole top-rarity pool, so it is not necessarily the featured unit. Starting from zero pity, 10 pulls give you a 4.9% chance and you need about 60 pulls for a coin-flip 50%. Set your current pity and the pulls you have saved to see your own number.

Pity calculator for:

Pity you have right now

0Soft pity: 60Hard pity: 60

Pulls you can spend10

= 2,500 Black Cards

Will you have enough by the next banner?

Type what you have, what you earn per week and when the banner ends. The planner turns it into pulls and into your real chance that day.

Currency you have now (Black Cards)

Currency you earn per week

Banner ends on

Pity you have now

0 weeks to go

Pulls you will have

Chance of the featured drop

Pulls needed for 90%

How the Punishing: Gray Raven Member Recruitment pity system works

Counter. Every pull without a top-rarity drop adds 1 to your pity. The counter resets to 0 the moment you get one — it does not reset when the banner rotates.
Flat rate. Punishing: Gray Raven keeps the rate at 0.5% on every pull of this banner; nothing ramps up before the cap, so only the hard guarantee changes your odds.
Hard pity (60). If you reach pull 60 without a drop, that pull is forced to be top rarity. From zero that costs 15,000 Black Cards.
Pool guarantee. The forced drop is any top-rarity unit from the current pool. Budget for more than 60 pulls if you want one specific unit.

How many pulls and Black Cards you need in Punishing: Gray Raven

Target	Pulls	Black Cards
10 pulls (one multi)	10	2,500
50% chance of a top-rarity drop	60	15,000
90% chance of a top-rarity drop	60	15,000
Hard pity (60) from zero	60	15,000

Chance of a top-rarity drop by number of pulls in Punishing: Gray Raven

Pulls from zero pity	Cumulative chance	Black Cards
10	4.9%	2,500
20	9.5%	5,000
30	14%	7,500
40	18%	10,000
50	22%	12,500
60Hard pity	100%	15,000

Computed from the Member Recruitment banner's exact rate table: 0.5% base rate, hard pity at 60. Every row assumes you start at pity 0; type your real pity in the calculator to shift the curve.

How many pulls do you need in Punishing: Gray Raven? →Punishing →How to get Black Cards in Punishing: Gray Raven →