Honkai: Star Rail Light Cone Event Pity Calculator: Odds, Pity Thresholds and Guarantee

Hard pity: 80
Soft pity: 65
Base rate: 0.8%
Cost per pull: 160 Stellar Jade
Rate-up guarantee: 75/25 with carry-over

This Honkai: Star Rail pity calculator turns your pity counter into a real percentage. The Light Cone Event banner guarantees a top-rarity drop by pull 80, with soft pity from pull 65 (the rate climbs from 0.8% to 6.8% on that pull and keeps rising). When a top-rarity drop lands it is the featured item 75% of the time; if it is not, the next top-rarity drop on this banner is locked to the rate-up. Starting from zero pity, 10 pulls give you a 7.7% chance and you need about 66 pulls for a coin-flip 50%. Set your current pity and the pulls you have saved to see your own number. Light Cone Event Warps are cheaper than character warps: hard pity at 80 and a 75/25 split in favour of the featured cone.

Pity calculator for:

Pity you have right now

0Soft pity: 65Hard pity: 80

Pulls you can spend10

= 1,600 Stellar Jade

Will you have enough by the next banner?

Type what you have, what you earn per week and when the banner ends. The planner turns it into pulls and into your real chance that day.

Currency you have now (Stellar Jade)

Currency you earn per week

Banner ends on

Pity you have now

0 weeks to go

Pulls you will have

Chance of the featured drop

Pulls needed for 90%

How the Honkai: Star Rail Light Cone Event pity system works

Counter. Every pull without a top-rarity drop adds 1 to your pity. The counter resets to 0 the moment you get one — it does not reset when the banner rotates.
Soft pity zone (pull 65 → 80). From pull 65 the per-pull rate jumps to about 6.8% and grows on each following pull. Most top-rarity drops in Honkai: Star Rail land inside this window, which is why the average is far below the hard cap.
Hard pity (80). If you reach pull 80 without a drop, that pull is forced to be top rarity. From zero that costs 12,800 Stellar Jade.
Featured guarantee. When a top-rarity drop lands it is the featured item 75% of the time; if it is not, the next top-rarity drop on this banner is locked to the rate-up. Worst case for the rate-up unit is therefore 160 pulls (25,600 Stellar Jade).

How many pulls and Stellar Jade you need in Honkai: Star Rail

Target	Pulls	Stellar Jade
10 pulls (one multi)	10	1,600
50% chance of a top-rarity drop	66	10,560
90% chance of a top-rarity drop	71	11,360
Hard pity (80) from zero	80	12,800
Featured unit — typical case	≈66	≈10,560
Featured unit — worst case	160	25,600

Chance of a top-rarity drop by number of pulls in Honkai: Star Rail

Pulls from zero pity	Cumulative chance	Stellar Jade
10	7.7%	1,600
20	15%	3,200
30	21%	4,800
40	27%	6,400
50	33%	8,000
60	38%	9,600
65Soft pity	44%	10,400
70	87%	11,200
80Hard pity	100%	12,800

Computed from the Light Cone Event banner's exact rate table: 0.8% base rate, soft pity from pull 65, hard pity at 80. Every row assumes you start at pity 0; type your real pity in the calculator to shift the curve.

How many pulls do you need in Honkai: Star Rail? →Honkai →How to get Stellar Jade in Honkai: Star Rail →

Real-money cost of Honkai: Star Rail pulls

USD	EUR	Stellar Jade	Pulls
$10	8.63 €	648	4
$20	17.25 €	1,296	8
$50	43.13 €	3,240	20
$100	86.27 €	6,480	40
Worst case (full guarantee)		25,600	160 · $395 / 340.77 €

Reference: the best-value pack, $99.99 for 40 pulls (about $2.50 each). Euros converted at the ECB rate (1 USD = 0.863 EUR, 2026-09-11), so $99.99 ≈ 86.26 €; the store's own EUR price, regional pricing and first-purchase bonuses change the total.

How many pulls does your money buy?

$5$20$200

Stellar Jade

1,296

→

pulls

Uses the store pack with the best rate; regional prices change the count.