Aether Gazer Standard Pity Calculator: Odds, Pity Thresholds and Guarantee

Hard pity: 90
Soft pity: 70
Base rate: 2.0%
Cost per pull: 200 Shifted Stars
Rate-up guarantee: 75/25 with carry-over

This Aether Gazer pity calculator turns your pity counter into a real percentage. The Standard banner guarantees a top-rarity drop by pull 90, with soft pity from pull 70 (the rate climbs from 2.0% to 7.0% on that pull and keeps rising). When a top-rarity drop lands it is the featured item 75% of the time; if it is not, the next top-rarity drop on this banner is locked to the rate-up. Starting from zero pity, 10 pulls give you a 18% chance and you need about 35 pulls for a coin-flip 50%. Set your current pity and the pulls you have saved to see your own number.

Pity calculator for:

Pity you have right now

0Soft pity: 70Hard pity: 90

Pulls you can spend10

= 2,000 Shifted Stars

Will you have enough by the next banner?

Type what you have, what you earn per week and when the banner ends. The planner turns it into pulls and into your real chance that day.

Currency you have now (Shifted Stars)

Currency you earn per week

Banner ends on

Pity you have now

0 weeks to go

Pulls you will have

Chance of the featured drop

Pulls needed for 90%

How the Aether Gazer Standard pity system works

Counter. Every pull without a top-rarity drop adds 1 to your pity. The counter resets to 0 the moment you get one — it does not reset when the banner rotates.
Soft pity zone (pull 70 → 90). From pull 70 the per-pull rate jumps to about 7.0% and grows on each following pull. Most top-rarity drops in Aether Gazer land inside this window, which is why the average is far below the hard cap.
Hard pity (90). If you reach pull 90 without a drop, that pull is forced to be top rarity. From zero that costs 18,000 Shifted Stars.
Featured guarantee. When a top-rarity drop lands it is the featured item 75% of the time; if it is not, the next top-rarity drop on this banner is locked to the rate-up. Worst case for the rate-up unit is therefore 180 pulls (36,000 Shifted Stars).

How many pulls and Shifted Stars you need in Aether Gazer

Target	Pulls	Shifted Stars
10 pulls (one multi)	10	2,000
50% chance of a top-rarity drop	35	7,000
90% chance of a top-rarity drop	74	14,800
Hard pity (90) from zero	90	18,000
Featured unit — typical case	≈49	≈9,800
Featured unit — worst case	180	36,000

Chance of a top-rarity drop by number of pulls in Aether Gazer

Pulls from zero pity	Cumulative chance	Shifted Stars
10	18%	2,000
20	33%	4,000
30	45%	6,000
40	55%	8,000
50	64%	10,000
60	70%	12,000
70Soft pity	77%	14,000
80	100%	16,000
90Hard pity	100%	18,000

Computed from the Standard banner's exact rate table: 2.0% base rate, soft pity from pull 70, hard pity at 90. Every row assumes you start at pity 0; type your real pity in the calculator to shift the curve.

How many pulls do you need in Aether Gazer? →Aether Gazer free pulls →How to get Shifted Stars in Aether Gazer →