Every pull on the Aether Gazer Character Event banner costs 200 Shifted Stars, so the question "how many pulls?" is really "how many Shifted Stars?". The tables below answer both for every milestone that matters: a comfortable 50%, a safe 90%, the soft pity threshold at pull 50, the hard pity at 70 and the full featured guarantee at 140. All figures start from pity 0; the calculator lets you plug in your own counter.
Pulls and Shifted Stars for each goal in Aether Gazer
Goal
Pulls
Shifted Stars
One 10-pull
10
2,000
50% chance of a top-rarity drop
35
7,000
90% chance of a top-rarity drop
54
10,800
99% chance of a top-rarity drop
58
11,600
Reach soft pity
50
10,000
Reach hard pity (guaranteed drop)
70
14,000
Featured unit — typical case
≈49
≈9,800
Featured unit — worst case
140
28,000
Chance of a top-rarity drop by number of pulls in Aether Gazer
Pulls from zero pity
Cumulative chance
Shifted Stars
10
18%
2,000
20
33%
4,000
30
45%
6,000
40
55%
8,000
50Soft pity
66%
10,000
60
100%
12,000
70Hard pity
100%
14,000
Computed from the Character Event banner's exact rate table: 2.0% base rate, soft pity from pull 50, hard pity at 70. Every row assumes you start at pity 0; type your real pity in the calculator to shift the curve.