Raid: Shadow Legends Pity Calculator: Soft Pity, Hard Pity and Your Real 5★ Odds

Hard pity: 220
Soft pity: 200
Base rate: 0.5%
Cost per pull: 1 Shards
Rate-up guarantee: Direct (no 50/50)

This Raid: Shadow Legends pity calculator turns your pity counter into a real percentage. The Dokkan Festival banner guarantees a top-rarity drop by pull 220, with soft pity from pull 200 (the rate climbs from 0.5% to 5.5% on that pull and keeps rising). There is no coin flip on this banner: the guaranteed top-rarity drop is always the featured unit. Starting from zero pity, 10 pulls give you a 4.9% chance and you need about 139 pulls for a coin-flip 50%. Set your current pity and the pulls you have saved to see your own number.

Pity calculator for:

Pity you have right now

0Soft pity: 200Hard pity: 220

Pulls you can spend10

= 10 Shards

Will you have enough by the next banner?

Type what you have, what you earn per week and when the banner ends. The planner turns it into pulls and into your real chance that day.

Currency you have now (Shards)

Currency you earn per week

Banner ends on

Pity you have now

0 weeks to go

Pulls you will have

Chance of the featured drop

206

Pulls needed for 90%

How the Raid: Shadow Legends Dokkan Festival pity system works

Counter. Every pull without a top-rarity drop adds 1 to your pity. The counter resets to 0 the moment you get one — it does not reset when the banner rotates.
Soft pity zone (pull 200 → 220). From pull 200 the per-pull rate jumps to about 5.5% and grows on each following pull. Most top-rarity drops in Raid: Shadow Legends land inside this window, which is why the average is far below the hard cap.
Hard pity (220). If you reach pull 220 without a drop, that pull is forced to be top rarity. From zero that costs 220 Shards.
Featured guarantee. The pity drop is always the featured unit, so 220 pulls (220 Shards) is the true ceiling.

How many pulls and Shards you need in Raid: Shadow Legends

Target	Pulls	Shards
10 pulls (one multi)	10	10
50% chance of a top-rarity drop	139	139
90% chance of a top-rarity drop	206	206
Hard pity (220) from zero	220	220

Chance of a top-rarity drop by number of pulls in Raid: Shadow Legends

Pulls from zero pity	Cumulative chance	Shards
20	9.5%	20
40	18%	40
60	26%	60
80	33%	80
100	39%	100
120	45%	120
140	50%	140
160	55%	160
180	59%	180
200Soft pity	65%	200
220Hard pity	100%	220

Computed from the Dokkan Festival banner's exact rate table: 0.5% base rate, soft pity from pull 200, hard pity at 220. Every row assumes you start at pity 0; type your real pity in the calculator to shift the curve.

How many pulls do you need in Raid: Shadow Legends? →Raid →How to get Shards in Raid: Shadow Legends →